Forex Market Preview

10 January 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

It proved to be a strange day in the FX markets yesterday, the early sessions were characterized by a very weak sterling – something that we were expecting. In the late session we were expecting for the USD to wrestle back some of the initiative that it lost during the week and this just never materialized, not even some hawkish jawboning from some of the talking Fed officials could nudge the greenback out of its slumber.

Dean's Daily FX Update – 10 January 2017

In the Zone

  • GBPUSD
  • AUDUSD
  • USDCAD

Recap

The EURUSD was choppy with price trading as low as 1.0520, it did have a brief attempt to break through the top side monthly pivot at 1.0580 but it failed again. Price looks as though it wants to attempt another test of this upside level – another failure here will leave the sellers firmly in control.

Cable, as anticipated was rather weak with price trading as low as 1.2110 yesterday, it did find some swift support down at those levels and did trade higher to 1.2180. Price was rather jaded and there was a lot of sideways movement in this pair. Prime Minister May is trying desperately hard to extinguish the fires and assure the Brits that there will be positive terms negotiated in “Brexit.” This pair may be difficult to trade in the in the short term as headlines are bound to move this pair.

The USDCAD was mightily impressive yesterday, the oil prices plummeted by over 4% and the loonie still managed to tread water. The catalyst for this was the better than expected BOC Business Investment Survey, 1.3195 seems to be the bottom for now and I suspect that the greenback could start to eat away at those profits tonight.

Daily Ranges 10/01/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.0600 – 1.0620

Support                                                1.0510 – 1.0500

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2268 – 1.2288

Support                                                1.2160 – 1.2140

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7380 – 0.7400

Support                                                0.7310– 0.7300

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7050 – 0.7080

Support                                                0.6960 – 0.6940

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3260 – 1.3280

Support                                                1.3220 – 1.3190

USDJPY

Resistance                                          117.00 – 117.25

Support                                                115.20 – 115.00

USDCHF

Resistance                                          1.0187 – 1.0200

Support                                                1.0117 – 1.0110

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          13.7559 – 13.7850

Support                                                13.6200 – 13.5890           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          14.4955 – 14.5220

Support                                                14.3860 – 14.3500

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          16.7620 – 16.7890

Support                                                16.5000 – 16.4397

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          0.9740 – 0.9760

Support                                                0.9670 – 0.9650

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          85.84 – 86.00

Support                                                85.19 – 85.00

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0740 – 1.0750

Support                                                1.0700 – 1.0690

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8730 – 0.8780

Support                                                0.8620 – 0.8600

EURJPY

Resistance                                          123.30 – 123.50

Support                                                122.40 – 122.10

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          142.50 – 142.90

Support                                                140.30 – 140.00

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6190 – 1.6210

Support                                                1.6030 – 1.6000

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2425 – 1.2445

Support                                                1.2300 – 1.2280

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          11600 – 11650

Support                                                11520 – 11500

UK100

Resistance                                          7200 – 7250

Support                                                7180 – 7150

US500

Resistance                                          2270 – 2300

Support                                                2260 – 2220

US30

Resistance                                          19950 – 20000

Support                                                19865 – 19820

SA40

Resistance                                          44900 – 45000

Support                                                44200 – 44000

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          56.70 – 56.90

Support                                                55.10 – 54.70

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1187.09 – 1200.00

Support                                                1175.00 – 1165.20

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          16.60 – 16.80

Support                                                16.28 – 16.00

Important Economic Data out today

  • 11:30                     GBP                       Manufacturing Production
  • 17:30                     USD                       Crude Oil Inventories

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