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Market Insight Commentary – 24 May 2018

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In the Zone

  • Oil
  • GBPUSD
  • EURUSD
  • USDCAD

Market Insight Commentary – Forex

Today's News Headlines

  • There is still a lot of talk that a NAFTA deal will be finalized soon – my concern here is that we have been hearing this for some time now and still no deal has been summarized.

Market Insight Commentary – Indices

Market Recap

Donald Trump continues to rock the boat for lack of a better phrase, he hinted early yesterday morning that he was not pleased with the latest China deal – I think that he needs to realize that the he can’t have his cake and eat it too. The natural reaction of the market was to seek out safe haven assets such as the Yen and Gold, they did reach highs and started to tipple somewhat but had to wait for the release of the FOMC minutes to get any momentum.

The minutes highlighted that the Fed would tolerate higher inflation, without rushing to hike rates – this is nothing new but again it was the catalyst for a major move in the markets. Oil continues to be a major factor in the market, the wobble in crude was the catalyst for the USDCAD to move from 1.2900 to 1.2860.

The FX market continues to be tough and I still seek opportunity in other markets.

Important Economic Data Due Today

10:00                           GBP                              BOE Gov Carney Speaks  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the GBP

 

10:30                           GBP                              Retail Sales

Consensus:                   0.8%

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the GBP

 

13:30                           EUR                              ECB Monetary Policy Minutes  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the EUR

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