bull v bear currencies

Market Insight Commentary – 05 July 2018

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In the Zone

  • GBPUSD
  • NZDUSD
  • USDJPY
  • Dax
  • FTSE

Market Insight Commentary – Forex

Today's News Headlines

  • Iran have suggested that Donald Trump is inflicting self-harm by interfering with oil prices – with the US being the largest importer of oil, it is hard to argue with those comments.

Market Insight Commentary – Indices

Market Recap

Predictably, it was a very quiet day yesterday with US enjoying Independence Day. Anything remotely marking moving came from headlines out of Europe, the first that ECB members were shifting towards a more hawkish tone and the second that the US were willing find a compromise on auto tariffs. Both of these headlines were released after London had closed for the day and so the impact was limited.

The GBPUSD had a continuous bid throughout the day as it climbed to 1.3250 which was the highest in almost a month, the catalyst is still a little bit unknown but I would suspect that it may be on Mays Brexit plan that will come later this week. We also have a little event risk today in the form of a speech from BOE Governor Carney.

I am going to be a little bit more cautious this morning as price action can often be a little unpredictable after a bank holiday but with the looming NFP tomorrow, I would probably look at the indices as my main pairs today.

Important Economic Data Due Today

12:00                           GBP                              BOE Governor Carney Speaks     

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the GBP

 

14:15                           USD                              Non-Farm ADP Employment Change     

Consensus:                   190K

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the USD

 

16:00                           USD                              ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI    

Consensus:                   58.3

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the USD

 

17:00                           USD                              Crude Oil Inventories

Consensus:                   -4.4M

Effect:                          No consistent effect on the USD

 

20:00                           USD                              FOMC Meeting Minutes      

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the USD

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