Forex Market Insight 03 October 2018

Market Insight Commentary – 03 October 2018

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In the Zone

  • US30
  • Brent
  • USDCAD

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Today's News Headlines

  • The UK continues to proclaim Brexit headlines are overblown – this time eluding to the Northern Ireland border issues. Clearly taking advantage of the Italian crisis within the EU.

Market Recap

The key word yesterday was retracement, in particular the JPY pairs – this is something that we anticipated on Tuesday and were fortunate to take advantage of. Concerns in Italy continues to drive the EUR and the pair once again tested a key psychological level of 1.1550.

Headlines and talking heads are also key in the sterling volatility with the unpredictable nature of Europe and Brexit moving the pound pairs. Boris Johnson is not helping much, as he yesterday he hinted of a prosecution of Theresa May and asking the country to back her in the same sentence. The GBPUSD continues to be moving sideways and it is looking likely that 1.3000 is going to be the line in the sand today.

It is tough to find any opportunity in the currency market at the moment and I continue to look for intraday opportunities in both the Index and energy markets.

Important Economic Data Due Today

10:30                            GBP                              Services PMI   

Consensus:                   54.0

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the GBP

14:15                            USD                              ADP Non-Farm Employment Change   

Consensus:                   187K

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the USD

16:00                            USD                              ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI   

Consensus:                   58.1

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the USD

22:00                            USD                              Fed Chair Powell Speaks   

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the USD

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