Forex Market Insight 11 October 2018

Market Insight Commentary – 11 October 2018

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Today's News Headlines

  • The White House was convinced last night that the market sell off is just a correction, historically it would be said that they would be right – but this feels like a “what if” moment.

Market Recap

Earning season is starting again with some of the major financial institutions scheduled to report on Friday, if last night was not a sound warning – buckle up because markets could get wild over the next couple of days. Global equity markets had its biggest sell off since Brexit, the impact had a delayed reaction but eventually the bond yields turned negative as we did see a small flight to safety.

The USD was mixed with gains vs the risk off currencies (commodity currencies), but took a knock against the rest of the major currencies. I think the question today will be, “what happens today?” Will the hurricane continue to sweep through the markets or will we see the rainbow come out today.

I suspect that the equity markets will sell off today again, I suspect that this may be a day to sit out of the markets, let someone else catch a falling knife.

Important Economic Data Due Today

11:00                            GBP                              BOE Carney Speaks    

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the GBP

14:30                            USD                              CPI

Consensus:                   0.2%

Effect:                          Higher than expected is good for the USD

Tentative                                  USD                              Treasury Currency Report   

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          No consistent effect on the USD

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