Forex Market Insight 07 September 2018

Market Insight Commentary – 07 September 2018

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Today's News Headlines

  • Japan, up to now have been very quiet in the trade war – that could all change soon as rumours were sparked last night that they would be next in Donald Trump’s sights.

Market Recap

Fundamental headlines continue to drive the market as we await the NFP data read today as well as any form of news flow around NAFTA and Brexit that may filter through. I won’t be trading today, as for me the NFP data read is always a lottery as to how the market react and so I would prefer to trade on Monday again, considering we had such a good week I feel this to be the most conservative route.

The USDJPY was rather active yesterday and was mostly sold the entire day, a positive correlation to the equity indices. I think that most of the move would have left the market with a feeling that Chinese tariffs will be announced.

The USDCAD continues to be moved by the NAFTA headlines – oil slumped and so the market tested 1.3200 before retracing steadily throughout the day. There is also talk that rate hikes could essentially be increased at a faster price and this will send the USDCAD even lower.

Important Economic Data Due Today

14:30 CAD Employment Change

Consensus: 5K

Effect: Higher than expected is good for the CAD

14:30 CAD Unemployment Rate

Consensus: 5.9%

Effect: Lower than expected is good for the CAD

14:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings

Consensus: 0.2%

Effect: Higher than expected is good for the USD

14:30 USD Non-Farm Employment Change

Consensus: 191K

Effect: Higher than expected is good for the USD

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