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Market Insight Commentary – 11 April 2018

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Market Insight Commentary – Forex

Today's News Headlines

  • Trump cancelled his trip to South America to monitor the Syria situation, could this spell a possible war on the horizon.

Market Insight Commentary – Indices

Market Recap

We have a lot to digest over the course of the week with NAFTA, trade wars and the possibility of conflict in Syria dominating the equity markets. Yesterday we also heard comments out of the ECB declaring the end of QE in the region, these comments stood for a couple of hours before the ECB came out and watered the comments down a little bit. Additional volatility is not what we needed in a week like this.

The USDJPY continues to bounce around on the drama show that is Donald Trump, it first bounced on the news that Trump was thankful to the US on China shift on tariffs. It then bounced the other way on news that Trump is considering firing Mueller which means the currency turned the other way.

The CAD continues to be the darling in the currencies and it was joined by the commodity bloc after the Chinese comments. The loonie has broken below major resistance and is trading at monthly lows, it could be the pricing in of an expected interest rate next week.

Important Economic Data Due Today

10:30                           GBP                              Manufacturing

Consensus:                   0.2%

Effect:                          Actual higher than expected is good for the GBP

14:30                           USD                              CPI

Consensus:                   0.0%

Effect:                          Actual higher than expected is good for the USD

16:30                           USD                              Crude Oil Inventories

Consensus:                   -0.6

Effect:                          No consistent effect on the USD

20:00                           USD                              FOMC Meeting Minutes

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the USD

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