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27 June 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

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Dean's Daily FX Update – 27 June 2017

In the Zone

  • AUDUSD
  • NZDUSD
  • USDCAD

Noteworthy News

  • The Supreme Court in the US has ruled to allow some parts of President Trumps travel ban. This is a minor victory for the White House and if they can by some miracle get the Healthcare bill through, you then get the impression that the “Trump Train” will gather some momentum.

Recap

There was only one data point yesterday that held any significance out of the US and whilst the reading came out weaker than expected, you couldn’t help but think that once again the market over reacted. From a fundamental perspective it would seem as though the market has the bit between its teeth and are looking for any reason to sell the greenback, I find this surprising though as the US economy is the only one robust enough to endure an interest rate hike and it would seem as though the rest of the world are light years behind – Canada might disagree though.

The USDJPY was under pressure for most of the day as Japan were quick to point out that they were no nearer normalization. The lower durable goods reading did lead to the pair dropping to 111.35 before buyers used the 100 hour MA as support and the pair bounced to 111.75 late last night. The 100 day MA trades at 111.80 and the price closed above this level, there is bound to be some profit taking early this morning but I would not be surprised if price action targets 112.00.

The EURUSD followed a similar path to that of the JPY yesterday as the pair traded as high as 1.1220, the pair did find some resistance up there though and gathered some momentum once it broke through 1.1200. The 200 hour MA trades at 1.1170 and I think that is where price may drift this morning, this has defined the bullish and bearish points the last month and so once again it will become pivotal.

I will be keeping an eye on the Brexit negotiations and I must say that they are becoming very cordial. I mentioned a couple weeks back that I have serious doubts as to whether we will see a Brexit, but what we are seeing is a “Brexit” that looks very similar to the status quo. I continue to seek opportunity in the commodity currencies, the NZDUSD looks most likely to me this week and possibly the USDCAD next week – it is proving to be a game of patience though.

Daily Ranges 27/06/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.1200 – 1.1210

Support                                                1.1160 – 1.1140

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2740 – 1.2760

Support                                                1.2680 – 1.2660

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7600 – 0.7620

Support                                                0.7560 – 0.7550

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7300 – 0.7320

Support                                                0.7260 – 0.7240

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3280 – 1.3290

Support                                                1.3210 – 1.3200

USDJPY

Resistance                                          111.80 – 112.00

Support                                                111.30 – 110.10

USDCHF

Resistance                                          0.9720 – 0.9740

Support                                                0.9680 – 0.9660

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          12.9300 – 12.9500

Support                                                12.8200 – 12.8000           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          14.4540 – 14.4800

Support                                                14.3660 – 14.3300

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          16.4580 – 16.5060

Support                                                16.3390 – 16.3000

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          1.0060 – 1.0080

Support                                                1.0010 – 0.9990

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          85.00 – 85.20

Support                                                84.10 – 84.00

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0870 – 1.0880

Support                                                1.0830 – 1.0820

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8800 – 0.8810

Support                                                0.8760 – 0.8740

EURJPY

Resistance                                          125.00 – 125.30

Support                                                124.20 – 124.00

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          142.20 – 142.40

Support                                                141.10 – 141.00

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6900 – 1.6920

Support                                                1.6800 – 1.6780

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2360 – 1.2380

Support                                                1.2310 – 1.2280

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          12800 – 12830

Support                                                12720 – 12700

UK100

Resistance                                          7470 – 7480                        

Support                                                7390 – 7370

US500

Resistance                                          2440 – 2460

Support                                                2420 – 2400

US30

Resistance                                          21440 – 21480

Support                                                21370 – 21350

SA40

Resistance                                          45700 – 45900                   

Support                                                45000 – 44800                   

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          46.30 – 46.50

Support                                                44.80 – 44.50

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1260 – 1255

Support                                                1250 – 1240

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          16.80 – 16.90

Support                                                16.40 – 16.30

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