Forex Market Preview

11 January 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

There was a lack of any major news flow yesterday which meant there was some two way opportunity in trading and FX traders were able to make profits on both sides of the market, looking at your longer time charts we can see that most of the major pairs did not close too far from their opening prices. The day was largely characterized by a stronger USD in the London session and then a reversal in the New York Session.

Dean's Daily FX Update – 11 January 2017

In the Zone

  • GBPUSD
  • AUDUSD
  • USDCAD

Recap

There was a lack of any major news flow yesterday which meant there was some two way opportunity in trading and traders were able to make profits on both sides of the market, looking at your longer time charts we can see that most of the major pairs did not close too far from their opening prices. The day was largely characterized by a stronger USD in the London session and then a reversal in the New York Session.

The EURUSD did come under some pressure throughout the day yesterday and had multiple attempts at the lows of the day. We did find some support yesterday at 1.0550 and that looks as though we have a strong round of bids, I suspect that we may have another attempt at those levels again this morning and another big bounce will be paramount if the buyers want to continue on their recent recovery.

The USDJPY is really trying hard to have that deeper correction that we have been holding out for. We saw another aggressive bout of selling last night, but just like most of the month we found some strong support at 115.05. The bounce took the pair to 115.75 before closing and the 115.00 level does seem to be the last frontier for the buyers – a close below that price means that we will get that deep correction we are holding out for.

USDCAD is a rollercoaster, but it is presenting some nice two way action for traders. It is caught in a little bit of indecision between strong local economic data but also a floundering oil price. Trading off the Daily chart one would think that the market has not moved but there is come volatility there, we traded from 1.3250 to 1.3180 yesterday and then back to 1.3250.

The commodity market is making a stir this week, oil prices had another disastrous day – closing on the lows for a second consecutive day. The metal prices have also had a fantastic rally, but the metals and oil though are trading near weekly extremes and so I would be cautious in these instruments this morning.

Daily Ranges 11/01/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.0600 – 1.0620

Support                                                1.0530 – 1.0510

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2199 – 1.2219

Support                                                1.2124 – 1.2100

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7380 – 0.7400

Support                                                0.7330– 0.7310

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7019 – 0.7030

Support                                                0.6960 – 0.6940

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3260 – 1.3280

Support                                                1.3200 – 1.3190

USDJPY

Resistance                                          116.30 – 116.50

Support                                                115.50 – 115.00

USDCHF

Resistance                                          1.0187 – 1.0200

Support                                                1.0117 – 1.0110

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          13.7559 – 13.7850

Support                                                13.6200 – 13.5890           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          14.4955 – 14.5220

Support                                                14.4160 – 14.3500

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          16.7120 – 16.7690

Support                                                16.5600 – 16.5097

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          0.9770 – 0.9780

Support                                                0.9710 – 0.9700

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          85.64 – 85.80

Support                                                85.10 – 85.00

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0740 – 1.0750

Support                                                1.0700 – 1.0690

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8716 – 0.8740

Support                                                0.8640 – 0.8620

EURJPY

Resistance                                          122.90 – 123.00

Support                                                122.10 – 122.00

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          141.50 – 141.90

Support                                                140.30 – 140.00

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6140 – 1.6170

Support                                                1.6030 – 1.6000

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2365 – 1.2385

Support                                                1.2300 – 1.2280

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          11600 – 11650

Support                                                11520 – 11500

UK100

Resistance                                          7280 – 7300

Support                                                7220 – 7200

US500

Resistance                                          2270 – 2300

Support                                                2260 – 2220

US30

Resistance                                          19950 – 20000

Support                                                19865 – 19820

SA40

Resistance                                          45600 – 45900

Support                                                44500 – 44200

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          55.20 – 55.70

Support                                                53.50 – 52.80

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1187.09 – 1200.00

Support                                                1180.00 – 1175.20

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          16.90 – 17.00

Support                                                16.58 – 16.30

Important Economic Data out today

  • 11:30                     GBP                       Manufacturing Production
  • 17:30                     USD                       Crude Oil Inventories

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