Forex Market Preview

09 February 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

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In the Zone

  • EURUSD
  • USDCAD
  • NZDUSD

Noteworthy News

  • The BOE yesterday reiterated their caution around the banking deregulation that President Trump could deliver in the US. No one wants to see a repeat of what we saw in 2007-2009, global banking systems are going to have to work hard to strike a balance with deregulation and over regulation.

Recap

It does seem as the major pairs have been returning to something that resembles normal technical analysis conditions. I continue to dip my toe into the water as opposed to trade with strong conviction however, the only reason is that I am not entirely certain if this is the quiet before the storm and I am constantly on the lookout for a stupendous tweet from one President Trump.

The EURUSD had another attempt at the 1.0700 level yesterday but found some swift resistance and eventually traded as low as 1.0650. While it is encouraging that we are seeing price continuously test that resistance level, the buyers would want to see price pick up momentum once it breaks through resistance. On the low side today I suspect that 1.0640 – 1.0620 will be initial support, a move below these pairs will be very bearish for this pair.

The GBPUSD has been flirting the entire week at 1.2525 which also represents the 200 hour MA, yesterday we ended the day above this level. If the buyers can extend price higher this morning we should see some momentum build and cable could trade much higher. A move back lower should be met with some support at the 100 hour MA which trades at 1.2475.

The USDJPY, much like sterling, has flirted with major support and resistance levels for the best part of the week. That level comes in at 112.00, yesterday price was able to trade to as low as 111.50 before it was met with some support, and 112.00 become as major battle ground between buyers and sellers again. We have a range between 111.50 and 112.35 forming and price will have to break either level before we get a sustained move.

The oil prices were able to find somewhat of a bounce yesterday off favourable economic data. This is turn has enabled the CAD to make back its recent losses against the dollar. Price closed at 1.3140 and this is a major bearish/bullish battle ground in this pair. I will be watching price action at these levels keenly to determine the next move in this pair.

Dean's Daily FX Update – 09 February 2017

Daily Ranges 09/02/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.0730 – 1.0750

Support                                                1.0650 – 1.0620

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2560 – 1.2580

Support                                                1.2430 – 1.2410

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7680 – 0.7700

Support                                                0.7600 – 0.7580

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7275 – 0.7300

Support                                                0.7180 – 0.7150

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3190 – 1.3220

Support                                                1.3085 – 1.3070

USDJPY

Resistance                                          112.60 – 112.80

Support                                                111.50 – 111.20

USDCHF

Resistance                                          0.9980 – 0.9999

Support                                                0.9930 – 0.9900

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          13.4700 – 13.5190

Support                                                13.3620 – 13.3250           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          14.3830 – 14.4050

Support                                                14.2910 – 14.2570

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          16.8520 – 16.8830

Support                                                16.7000 – 16.6680

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          1.0080 – 1.0090

Support                                                1.0000 – 0.9980

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          85.90 – 86.10

Support                                                85.20 – 85.00

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0680 – 1.0700

Support                                                1.0620 – 1.0600

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8570 – 0.8600

Support                                                0.8500 – 0.8480

EURJPY

Resistance                                          120.20 – 120.40

Support                                                119.30 – 119.00

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          140.70 – 141.00

Support                                                139.00 – 138.70

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6510 – 1.6530

Support                                                1.6370 – 1.6330

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2490 – 1.2510

Support                                                1.2407 – 1.2390

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          11580 – 11620

Support                                                11499 – 11470

UK100

Resistance                                          7190 – 7220

Support                                                7150 – 7120

US500

Resistance                                          2300 – 2320

Support                                                2280 – 2240

US30

Resistance                                          20110 – 20130

Support                                                20300 – 19900

SA40

Resistance                                          46400 – 46600

Support                                                45200 – 45000

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          55.80 – 56.00

Support                                                54.60 – 54.40

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1235.00 – 1250.00

Support                                                1215.00 – 1200.20

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          17.60 – 17.80

Support                                                17.40 – 17.20

Important Economic Data out today

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