Forex Market Preview

02 February 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

Yesterday the market had more twists than a koeksister. The dollar started the day making some gains against all the major pairs, but these were later erased after the FOMC decision. The Fed was very similar to what we have heard previously, there was neither a hawkish tone nor was there any hint on the next interest rate hike.

Dean's Daily FX Update – 02 February 2017

In the Zone

  • EURUSD
  • GBPUSD
  • AUDUSD
  • NZDUSD
  • USDCAD
  • USDJPY

Noteworthy News

  • There is a lot of talk coming out over the need for a weaker dollar, the only way to achieve that is to keep interest rates low. To keep interest low means that you can’t have infrastructure spend, which Donald Trump has reiterated will be his legacy. Trumponomics in full flight?

Recap

The report this morning is going to be a little shorter than usual today as we cover almost all the pairs in the morning video. The reason for this is that the dollar is effectively at “tipping point” against all the pairs today, the dollar is trading near either support or resistance and we are going to either “test and reject” these levels or we are going to break through.

We have event risk in both the GBP and EUR today as the central bank in both regions will be releasing press conferences. If we factor in that we have Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow, the next 36 hours could prove to be telling. Most of the pairs did a full round trip yesterday and so we search for direction today – we have included the technical reasons to trade in this morning’s video but there a lot of fundamental factors in play today.

Daily Ranges 02/02/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.0800 – 1.0820

Support                                                1.0740 – 1.0720

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2670 – 1.2700

Support                                                1.2570 – 1.2540

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7640 – 0.7670

Support                                                0.7570 – 0.7540

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7300 – 0.7320

Support                                                0.7250 – 0.7240

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3080 – 1.3100

Support                                                1.3000 – 1.2970

USDJPY

Resistance                                          113.60 – 113.80

Support                                                112.50 – 112.15

USDCHF

Resistance                                          0.9940 – 0.9960

Support                                                0.9880 – 0.9865

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          13.5080 – 13.5390

Support                                                13.3520 – 13.3130           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          14.5530 – 14.5820

Support                                                14.4120 – 14.3600

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          17.0240 – 17.0500

Support                                                16.9060 – 16.8650

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          0.9940 – 0.9970

Support                                                0.9880 – 0.9850

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          86.20 – 86.40

Support                                                85.50 – 85.20

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0680 – 1.0700

Support                                                1.0640 – 1.0620

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8560 – 0.8580

Support                                                0.8510 – 0.8490

EURJPY

Resistance                                          122.40 – 122.60

Support                                                121.40 – 121.10

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          143.40 – 143.70

Support                                                141.70 – 141.50

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6510 – 1.6540

Support                                                1.6370 – 1.6350

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2550 – 1.2570

Support                                                1.2440 – 1.2410

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          11680 – 11750

Support                                                11550 – 11470

UK100

Resistance                                          7140 – 7160

Support                                                7070 – 7050

US500

Resistance                                          2290 – 2300

Support                                                2260 – 2240

US30

Resistance                                          20030 – 20070

Support                                                19800 – 19600

SA40

Resistance                                          46700 – 46900

Support                                                45900 – 45700

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          56.60 – 56.80

Support                                                55.50 – 55.10

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1225.00 – 1240.00

Support                                                1200.00 – 1180.20

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          17.60 – 17.80

Support                                                17.10 – 16.80

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