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Market Insight Commentary – 20 June 2018

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Market Insight Commentary – Forex

Today's News Headlines

  • Oil has been somewhat tricky to trade of late – OPEC meets at the end of the week and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see supportive talk come out of that meeting.

Market Insight Commentary – Indices

Market Recap

Once again we had a light day with little economic releases, the market mover continues to be the Trump factor. The game of poker between Trump and China is trade war developments continues to move markets – after China raised there retaliation to $50B to match the US, Trump raised the stakes to $200B. China can’t see the full lot as the only receive $130B in US imports but they can impose qualitative measure like regulation, reduced expansion and consumer boycott – oh the joys.

The financial markets have a way of dealing with these things in their stride, and the lack of movement in the equity markets suggest that they are starting to ignore this story. The currency markets are still feeling the flow though as currency moves into safe havens like JPY and CHF.

The current geopolitical landscape scares me somewhat but there are a lot of technical trades setting up in the currency market – all of which we cover in the FX market.

Important Economic Data Due Today

14:30                           AUD                             RBA Governor Lowe Speaks  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the AUD

 

14:30                           EUR                              ECB President Draghi Speaks  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the EUR

 

14:30                           USD                              Fed Chair Powell Speaks  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the USD

 

14:30                           BOJ                              BOJ Governor Kuroda Speaks  

Consensus:                   None

Effect:                          More hawkish than expected is good for the JPY

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