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26 June 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

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Dean's Daily FX Update – 26 June 2017

In the Zone

  • AUDUSD
  • NZDUSD
  • USDCAD

Noteworthy News

  • We could see the revised Healthcare bill go through to the Senate this week, consensus is that the bill in the current format will probably not pass. If the bill does replace Obamacare this week though, expect the dollar to catch a large bid.

Recap

There is nothing much to report this morning as the market has been really subdued, it was a holiday in Singapore so flow was light. There was also very little economic data today and other than the talking heads this week, there is very little data throughout the week.

The market had been waiting for news out of the BOJ this morning through the publishing of its “Summary of Opinions,” and it was made clear this morning that the Japanese will not be tapering any time soon and that accommodative policy is still very much the norm. This naturally weakened the JPY by 10-15 pips but even that was nothing to write home about.

The AUDUSD seemed to be the early week mover as the pair moved closer to 0.7580, there has been some resistance up there thus far this morning. I suspect that this will prove to be a pivotal level in the AUD this week, Gold had also strengthened by over a dollar this morning but has since given this back – I will be watching what form of correlation there may be between these two instruments this week.

The rest of the pairs are relatively unchanged on the day thus far and the market is waiting for some direction this week. With all the talking heads out of the way and a relatively light calendar, I suspect that the market will wait on some comments out of Fed Chair Yellen tomorrow evening.

Daily Ranges 26/06/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                        1.1190 – 1.1210

Support                                             1.1140 – 1.1130

GBPUSD

Resistance                                        1.2740 – 1.2760

Support                                             1.2680 – 1.2660

AUDUSD

Resistance                                        0.7580 – 0.7600

Support                                             0.7540 – 0.7520

NZDUSD

Resistance                                        0.7280 – 0.7300

Support                                             0.7240 – 0.7230

USDCAD

Resistance                                        1.3280 – 1.3290

Support                                             1.3210 – 1.3200

USDJPY

Resistance                                        111.60 – 111.80

Support                                             111.00 – 110.70

USDCHF

Resistance                                        0.9720 – 0.9740

Support                                             0.9680 – 0.9660

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                        12.9800 – 13.0500

Support                                             12.8600 – 12.8400          

EURZAR

Resistance                                        14.5040 – 14.5300

Support                                             14.4040 – 14.3700

GBPZAR

Resistance                                        16.5080 – 16.5360

Support                                             16.3850 – 16.3500

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                        1.0040 – 1.0060

Support                                             1.0000 – 0.9980

AUDJPY

Resistance                                        84.80 – 85.00

Support                                             84.10 – 84.00

EURCHF

Resistance                                        1.0870 – 1.0880

Support                                             1.0830 – 1.0820

EURGBP

Resistance                                        0.8800 – 0.8810

Support                                             0.8760 – 0.8740

EURJPY

Resistance                                        125.00 – 125.30

Support                                             124.20 – 124.00

GBPJPY

Resistance                                        142.20 – 142.40

Support                                             141.10 – 141.00

GBPCAD

Resistance                                        1.6900 – 1.6920

Support                                             1.6800 – 1.6780

GBPCHF

Resistance                                        1.2360 – 1.2380

Support                                             1.2310 – 1.2280

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                        12800 – 12830

Support                                             12720 – 12700

UK100

Resistance                                        7470 – 7480                      

Support                                             7390 – 7370

US500

Resistance                                        2440 – 2460

Support                                             2420 – 2400

US30

Resistance                                        21440 – 21480

Support                                             21370 – 21350

SA40

Resistance                                        45700 – 45900                  

Support                                             45000 – 44800                  

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                        46.30 – 46.50

Support                                             44.80 – 44.50

XAUUSD

Resistance                                        1260 – 1255

Support                                             1250 – 1240

XAGUSD

Resistance                                        16.80 – 16.90

Support                                             16.40 – 16.30

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