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20 February 2017 – Dean Forex Market Commentary

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As was expected, the open this morning has been very low key, with both the US and Canada enjoying a bank holiday – there will be no evening session. If you throw in that there is no economic data of importance today and there were no “brain farts” out of the US over the weekend, there is nothing to move this market.

Dean's Daily FX Update – 20 February 2017

In the Zone

  • GBPUSD
  • NZDUSD
  • USDJPY

Noteworthy News

  • In London, the House of Lords will begin a 2 day debate on the Brexit Bill today, will keep an eye on developments as this has the potential to move both the GBP and the EUR this week.

Recap

The pairs for the most part are trading in tight ranges and I don’t see anything that suggests anything different for the rest of the day, any price movement will be trade related in my opinion. I use these type of days as research days and often back test my trading system – nothing wrong with a little bit of chart time.

Both the EURUSD and GBPUSD are trading in similar patterns today, the range for the day has been 30 pips and both are sitting at something resembling unchanged for the day. There is always the chance that some Brexit headlines move these pairs today and it gets over done on very little liquidity, further reason for me to take the day off.

The USDJPY is also little changed today, of all the pairs, I suspect that this one may see the most trade. Even then, it has only traded in a 40 pips range which is subdued for the JPY. It is similar in the commodity currencies today with both the AUDUSD and NZDUSD unchanged, I will be having a look at the NZD again this evening before I go to bed as I suspect that this may be where the early opportunity presents itself this week.

Sometimes the best trade is not to trade, and because of the reduced liquidity expected this evening, this is the stance I will be taking today.

Daily Ranges 20/02/2017

Majors

EURUSD

Resistance                                          1.0670 – 1.0690

Support                                                1.0610 – 1.0600

GBPUSD

Resistance                                          1.2500 – 1.2520

Support                                                1.2410 – 1.2400

AUDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7710 – 0.7730

Support                                                0.7660 – 0.7640

NZDUSD

Resistance                                          0.7220 – 0.7240

Support                                                0.7170 – 0.7150

USDCAD

Resistance                                          1.3100 – 1.3115

Support                                                1.3030 – 1.3010

USDJPY

Resistance                                          113.40 – 113.70

Support                                                112.70 – 112.50

USDCHF

Resistance                                          1.0030 – 1.0060

Support                                                0.9970 – 0.9950

Rand

USDZAR

Resistance                                          13.0850 – 13.1150

Support                                                12.9850 – 12.9550           

EURZAR

Resistance                                          13.9250 – 13.9580

Support                                                13.8125 – 13.7800

GBPZAR

Resistance                                          16.3010 – 16.3460

Support                                                16.1500 – 16.1240

Minors

AUDCAD

Resistance                                          1.0060 – 1.0080

Support                                                1.0020 – 1.0000

AUDJPY

Resistance                                          87.20 – 87.40

Support                                                86.50 – 86.20

EURCHF

Resistance                                          1.0670 – 1.0690

Support                                                1.0630 – 1.0610

EURGBP

Resistance                                          0.8540 – 0.8560

Support                                                0.8520 – 0.8490

EURJPY

Resistance                                          120.40 – 120.60

Support                                                119.90 – 119.70

GBPJPY

Resistance                                          141.20 – 141.50

Support                                                140.00 – 139.80

GBPCAD

Resistance                                          1.6340 – 1.6370

Support                                                1.6240 – 1.6220

GBPCHF

Resistance                                          1.2480 – 1.2500

Support                                                1.2420 – 1.2400

Indices

DE30

Resistance                                          11780 – 11800

Support                                                11710 – 11700

UK100

Resistance                                          7280 – 7320

Support                                                7250 – 7230

US500

Resistance                                          2350 – 2390

Support                                                2310 – 2300

US30

Resistance                                          20600 – 20620

Support                                                20500 – 20450

SA40

Resistance                                          45900 – 46100

Support                                                45000 – 44700

Commodities

BRENT

Resistance                                          56.80 – 57.00

Support                                                55.50 – 55.10

XAUUSD

Resistance                                          1240.00 – 1250.00

Support                                                1215.00 – 1200.20

XAGUSD

Resistance                                          17.90 – 18.09

Support                                                17.40 – 17.20

Important Economic Data out today

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