forex education

02 October 2017- Dean Forex Market Commentary

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Dean's Daily FX Update – 02 October 2017

In the Zone

  • UDCAD
  • USDJPY
  • USDZAR
  • Oil

Noteworthy News

  • Scenes during the Catalonia elections yesterday were terrible, there are 844 confirmed injured thus far. This really does cast a shadow over the Spanish government and will give the EU a major test.

Recap

As we go into the last quarter of the year, it is unbelievable to think that the indices once again marched higher – we really are living in some crazy times. The end of the quarter also saw another White House official resign, Home and Health Service Secretary Tom Price. Rumours are that the he resigned because of the abuse of private jets but there are rumours floating about that he was rather pushed out because of the failure of the repeal and replace of Obamacare – the circus continues.

The EURUSD continued the recovery on Friday as the pair could not break below the cluster of support at 1.1710, the bounce was deep as the pair tested 1.1825. This major resistance level is now the bullish/bearish yard stick from a technical viewpoint. To me this is a fundamental play and watching the scenes unfold in Catalonia – I would think the bias in this pair would be towards a short. I will be looking for opportunity elsewhere.

The USDJPY manage to stay above both the 200 hour MA and the 100 hour MA at 112.20 and 112.00 respectively. Resistance at 112.85 also held, this level was attempted twice last week and both times it failed, this is not a good sign for the bulls trying to move this pair higher. The bias will be in the hands of the sellers if this pair is able to remain below this resistance and a look below those major MA levels will instigate further selling.

China is off this entire week for the Golden Week Celebrations and so the Asian session has not really given us any clues as to where the market is going. I will wait until late morning to get some direction.

Important Economic Data out today

10:30                                     GBP                                       Manufacturing PMI

Consensus:                         56.3

Effect:                                   Actual higher than expected is good for the GBP

 

16:00                                     USD                                       ISM Manufacturing PMI

Consensus:                         57.9

Effect:                                   Actual higher than expected is good for the USD

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